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TABLE 3-13: REFERENCE CASE--U.S. RENEWABLE ENERGY PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION

(QUADS)

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EST!.
1984

3.6

3.6

2.7

0.1

0.1

2.8

6.4

-3.6

2.8

0.3 0.7 1.1 1.4

3.5 4.5 5.5 6.4 7.5

2.9 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.9

0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3

0. 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5

0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2

3.3 4.0 4.8 5.8 6.9

6.8 8.5 10.3 12.3 14.5

-3.5 -4.5 -5.5 -6.4 -7.5

-0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.6 -0.9

3.3 4.0 4.8 5.8 6.9

0.2 0.7

0.2 0.5

0.1

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HIST.
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980

1.7
2.1
2.7
3.2
3.0

1.7
2.1
2.7
3.2
3.0

1.3
1.3
1.4
1.5
2.2

1.3
1.3
1.4
1.6
2.3

3.0
3.4
4.1
4.8
5.3

-1.7
.2.1
-2.7
-3.2
-3.0

1.3
1.3
1.4
1.6
2.3

PROJ.
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010

3.5
4.0
4.5
4.8
5.1

0.2
0.3
0.3
0.3

PROJ.
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010

1.7
1.9
2.1
2.3
2.4

0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1

0.1
0.3
0.5
0.7

1.7
2.1
2.6
3.0
3.6

1.4
1.5
1.7
1.8
1.9

0.1
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.6

0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2

0.1
0.1
0.2
0.2

0.1
0.3

0.1 0.1

0.1 0.2

0.1

a) Includes sewer and landfill gas, municipal and agricultural waste, and biomass alcohol inputs. b) Included in renewables used by final consumers.

TABLE 3.14: REFERENCE CASE-KEY ECONOMIC DATA AND ASSUMPTIONS

U.S.

OCCUPIED

INDUSTRIAL
GNP

HOUSING COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION TOTAL TOTAL
(BIL. 1984 POPULATION STOCK FLOOR SPACE INDEX AUTOS TRUCKS
DOLLARS) (MILLIONS) (MILLIONS) (BIL.SQ.FT)|(1984=100) (MILLIONS)(MILLIONS)

YEAR

HIST. 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980

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TABLE 3.15: REFERENCE CASE.U.S. ENERGY RESERVES AND GENERATING CAPACITY

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ESTI. 1984

16.5

166.2

14.5

510

70

84

121.1

PROJ.
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010

89.1
74.6
67.3
62.6
55.7

10.4
10.2
9.8
9.2
7.2

143.6
136.3
120.1
99.1
79.9

17.0
14.1
11.7
7.6
7.4

534
603
666
732
788

107
111
111
126
141

88 112 140 162 189

a) Lower 48 states only (excludes NGL).
b) Includes conventional steam, internal combustion and gas turbine capacity.
c) Includes other renewable capacity.

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a) Some historical data are from the Monthly Energy Review and are not directly comparable with data

underlying the projections due to definitional differences.

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