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TABLE 3-8: REFERENCE CASE--U.S. ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY THE INDUSTRIAL SECTOR

(QUADS)

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MILLION BPD

TRILL'N MILLION MILLION MILLION TRILL'N MILLION BILLION MILLION MILLION CU. FT. TONS BDOE BPD cu. FT. TONS KWH BDOE BDOE

0.4

1.5

0.8

2.3

4.2

6.80

118

841

0.8

10.7

MILLION TRILLIN MILLION BILLION MILLION MILLION
YEAR1 BPD CU. FT. TONS 1 KWH BDOE BDOE
ESTI.
1984 2.0 6.1 115 841 0.8 8.4
PROJ.
1990 3.2 7.7 147 1027 0.9 10.9
1995 3.1 8.2 144 1189 1.0 11.5

2.8 8.2 151 1367 1.2 11.8
2005 2.6 8.1 182 1582

12.3 2010 2.3 7.8 213 1852 1.6 12.9

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2.5

8.5 9.1 9.1 9.1.

0.9 1.0 1.2

0.5

152 148 155 186

2000

1027 1189 1367 1582

1.7 1.8

2.6

2.1

5.0 4.9

14.0 14.4 15.1 15.8

0.5 0.5

2.2. 2.4

1.0

1.4

2.7

1.1

2.9

4.7

8.9

217

1.6

a) Excludes generation, transmission and distribution losses. b) Energy resources utilized in the manufacture of non-energy materials (asphalt, fertilizers, etc.).

TABLE 3-9; REFERENCE CASE--U.S. ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY THE TRANSPORTATION SECTOR

(QUADS)

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a) Includes residual and non-highway distillate fuels. b) Excludes generation, transmission and distribution losses.

TABLE 3-10: REFERENCE CASE--U.S. LIQUIDS SUPPLY AND TRANSFORMATION

(QUADS)

[blocks in formation]

CONVENTIONAL OIL

ENHANCED
CONTINENTAL NORTH OIL

ALASKA RECOVERY

NATURAL

GAS
LIQUIDS TOTAL

TOTAL
LIQUIDS
SUPPLIED
TO U.S.

C)
ECONOMY

TO

PRIMARY

OIL OTHER b)

TOTAL ELECTRICITY

SHALE OIL

NET STOCK IMPORTS CHANGES

U.S. as

TO GAS

FROM COAL

TOTAL

0.1

1.5 1.9 2.5 2.4 2.3

16.4 18.4 22.9 20.1 20.5

3.6 5.0 6.9 12.5 13.5

-0.2 -0.3 -0.3

-0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.5 0.5

19.9 23.2 29.5 32.7 34.2

-0.6 -0.8 -2.1 .3.2 -2.6

19.3 22.5 27.4 29.5 31.6

19.9 23.2 29.5 32.7 34.2

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YEAR

HIST.
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980

14.9
16.5
19.9
17.3
14.0

0.1
0.5
0.4
3.4

ESTI.
1984

14.4

-0.1

PROJ.
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010

13.6
11.7
10.9
10.3
8.9

3.6
3.7
3.8
4.1
3.8

2.0
2.2
2.2
1.8
1.5

2.0
1.7
1.4
1.1
1.0

21.2
19.3
18.3
17.4
15.6

12.5
14.4
15.8
16.2
17.6

33.8
33.7
34.1
33.5
33.2

-1.4
-1.4
•1.3
-1.0
-0.9

32.3
32.3
32.9
32.9
33.0

0.1
0.4
0.6

33.8
33.7
34.3
33.9
33.8

0.1
0.4

YEAR

ESTI.
1984

PROJ.
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010

6.4
5.5
5.1
4.9
4.2

1.7
1.7
1.8
1.9
1.8

0.9
1.0
1.0
0.9
0.7

a) Includes South Alaskan oil.
b) A balancing item. Includes unaccounted for private stock changes, losses, gains, miscellaneous blending components and unaccounted for supply.

Accounts for refinery gains only in the physical units table, 1990-2010. c) Primary oil plus synthetic oil from coal. Includes oil used to produce electricity and synthetic gas.

REFERENCE CASE--U.S. GASES SUPPLY AND TRANSFORMATION

(QUADS)

ADDITIONAL SOURCES

TRANSFORMATION

GAS

TOTAL

SYNTHETICS

USED BY

FINAL
CONSUMERS

GAS
SUPPLIED

TO U.S.
ECONOMY

PRIMARY

FROM
GAS

TO OIL
TOTAL ELECTRICITY (SNG)

NET STOCK
TOTAL IMPOR PS|CHANGES OTHER

FROM COAL

TOTAL

TOTAL

0.8

-0.2

-0.2

18.2

.3.2

0.2

0.2

15.2

18.4

[blocks in formation]

TABLE 3.11:

INDIGENOUS PRODUCTION

CONVENTIONAL GAS

UNCONVEN-
TIONAL

CONTINENTAL NORTH

ALASKA

U.S. 69

GASE)

YEAR

TOTAL

HIST
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980

12.7
15.8
21.7
19.6
19.9

12.7
15.8
21.7
19.6
19.9

12.7
15.8
21.7
19.6
19.9

0.1
0.4
0.8
0.9
1.0

-0.3
-0.2
-0.4
-0.4

-0.1
-0.3
-0.2
-0.2
-0.5

12.4
15.8
21.8
19.9
20.4

.1.8
.2.4
.4.1
-3.2
-3.8

10.6
13.4
17.7
16.7
16.6

12.4
15.8
21.8
19.9
20.4

ESTI.
1984

17.8

17.8

17.8

PROJ.
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010

17.9
17.3
16.0
12.6
11.0

YEAR

EST!.
1984

17.4

17.4

17.4

PROJ.
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010

17.6
17.0
15.6
12.3
10.8

a) Synthetic gas is included in primary gas supply, 1960 - 1980.
b) Includes South Alaskan gas.
c) Includes gas from tight sands, Devoni an shale, coal seams and geopressurized brines. Increment over 1984.
d) Includes export of North Alaskan production as liquified natural gas in 2010.
e) A balancing item. Includes unaccounted for stock changes, losses, gains and supply.
f) Primary gas plus synthetic gas from oil and coal. Includes gas used to produce electricity.

TABLE 3-12: REFERENCE CASE--U.S. COAL SOLIDS SUPPLY AND TRANSFORMATION

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a) A balancing item. Includes unaccounted for private stock changes, losses, unaccounted for supply

and anthracite shipped overseas to U.S. Armed Forces. b) includes coal used to produce electricity and synthetic fuels.

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