Financial Inclusion: Can it Meet Multiple Macroeconomic Goals?Using several recently available global datasets, this Staff Discussion Note examines macroeconomic effects of financial inclusion. It finds significant benefits to economic growth from financial inclusion, but the benefits diminish as financial inclusion and depth become large. Broadening access to credit can compromise economic and bank stability in countries with weak bank supervision. Other forms of financial inclusion—such as access to and use of bank accounts, branches, and ATMs—do not hurt stability, and can be promoted extensively. The note finds that gaps in financial inclusion are associated with economic inequality, but the association appears relatively weak. |
Contents
| 4 | |
B Five Stylized Facts | 10 |
FINANCIAL INCLUSION AND STABILITY | 16 |
POLICY MESSAGES | 22 |
EMPIRICAL APPROACHFINANCIAL INCLUSION AND STABILITY | 29 |
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Common terms and phrases
access to credit access to finance adults analysis Annex approach associated availability average bank stability bank supervision Basel benefits boards borrowers buffers capital consumer controls Core Principles corporations countries crisis dependent deposits depth economic economic growth effects especially estimated evidence example external Figure financial access financial inclusion financial institution financial sector financial services financial stability firms formal financial institution Global Findex growth growth volatility higher households IMF staff impact improve income increase indicators inequality interaction International lack loans lower macroeconomic major marginal measures negative Note observations percent percentage period population positive promoting ratio recent regions regressions regulation relationship relevant requirements risks Sahay scores share of women shows sources supervisory quality Survey trade-offs United users variable various Washington World Bank z-score
